Фінансово-кредитна діяльність: проблеми теорії та практики (Apr 2021)

THE INFLUENCE OF DECISIONS ON INCREASING SOCIAL STANDARDS ON MONETARY POLICY

  • S. Kolodii,
  • M. Rudenko,
  • L. Gariaga,
  • I. Kochuma,
  • S. Kolodii

DOI
https://doi.org/10.18371/fcaptp.v2i37.229684
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 2, no. 37

Abstract

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Abstract. Raising social standards is an essential instrument of social policy by the state. However, the decision to raise the minimum wage rather sharply should consider its impact on fiscal and monetary policy. The article aims to study how government decisions on social standards (in particular minimum wages) can influence monetary policy decisions based on inflation targeting. Results of the research. The method of analysis of indicators and consequences of the introduction of inflation targeting in Ukraine, geographical neighbors and countries with similar economies is described. It is determined that the final effect of changes in social standards on inflation depends on the entire transmission mechanism, which includes several interrelated reactions, and maybe stretched over time, depending on both the speed of transmission of the impulse and the specifics of institutional regulation. It is established that the criterion for a dramatic increase in the minimum wage is a significant upward shift of the minimum wage to the average wage ratio curve. In this case, as we have shown, inflation expectations worsen, which modifies somewhat the behaviour of economic agents and is transferred to current inflation rates in the future. Raising social standards is a good decision of the government in order to maintain household incomes. However, to ensure the neutrality of such a decision for fiscal and monetary policy, it needs to be aligned with its objectives and strategies. Keywords: social standards, monetary policy, inflation targeting, minimum wage, GDP, government. JEL Classification Е 600 Formulas: 0; fig.: 3; tabl.: 1; bibl.: 17.

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