Clinical value of a radiomics model based on machine learning for the prediction of prostate cancer

Abstract

Objective Radiomics models have demonstrated good performance for the diagnosis and evaluation of prostate cancer (PCa). However, there are currently no validated imaging models that can predict PCa or clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa). Therefore, we aimed to identify the best such models for the prediction of PCa and csPCa. Methods We performed a retrospective study of 942 patients with suspected PCa before they underwent prostate biopsy. MRI data were collected to manually segment suspicious regions of the tumor layer-by-layer. We then constructed models using the extracted imaging features. Finally, the clinical value of the models was evaluated. Results A diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) plus apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) random-forest model and a T2-weighted imaging plus ADC and DWI multilayer perceptron model were the best models for the prediction of PCa and csPCa, respectively. Areas under the curve (AUCs) of 0.942 and 0.999, respectively, were obtained for a training set. Internal validation yielded AUCs of 0.894 and 0.605, and external validation yielded AUCs of 0.732 and 0.623. Conclusion Models based on machine learning comprising radiomic features and clinical indicators showed good predictive efficiency for PCa and csPCa. These findings demonstrate the utility of radiomic models for clinical decision-making.