Управление (Jan 2020)
Russia’s place and role in the remittances world system
Abstract
The results of the analysis of Russia’s role in the world system of remittances for the period from 2010 to 2018 have been presented in the article. The volumes of cash outflow from Russia and their inflow to Russia have been determined. The features of cross-border cash flows with the Commonwealth of Independent States countries and foreign countries have been revealed, which consist in the fact, that Russia is characterized by an extremely high volume and rate of outflow of funds in the form of cross-border transfers, along with a low volume of their inflow. It has been established, that the exchange of funds with the Commonwealth of Independent States countries and with foreign countries are independent flows with their own characteristics.The main foreign and CIS countries – Russia’s partners in cross-border money transfers-have been defined. The growth dynamics and the target structure of remittances have been assessed. It has been revealed, that cross-border remittances from Russia are characterized by seasonality: a steadily recurring growth of remittances in the fourth quarter and a decrease in the first quarter of each year. The results of the forecast of the volume of remittances of individuals for 2019 have been presented. In accordance with the forecast, the growth of remittances from the Russian Federation will continue in 2019. According to the forecast, 21,755 million dollars USA will be transferred abroad in the second half of 2019. In general, in 2019, the volume of money transfers abroad will be less than the volume of 2018 and will amount to 42,804 million dollars USA. In the first half of 2020, 17,635 million dollars USA is expected to be transferred abroad.
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