Mapping the Probability of Schistosomiasis and Associated Uncertainty, West Africa

Abstract

We aimed to map the probability of Schistosoma haematobium infection being >50%, a threshold for annual mass praziquantel distribution. Parasitologic surveys were conducted in Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger, 2004–2006, and predictions were made by using Bayesian geostatistical models. Clusters with >50% probability of having >50% prevalence were delineated in each country.

Keywords

• uncertainty
• spatial analysis
• schistosomiasis
• Bayesian methods
• dispatch
• Burkina Faso