Predicting perioperative myocardial injury/infarction after noncardiac surgery in patients under surgical and medical co-management: a prospective cohort study

Abstract

Abstract Background Perioperative myocardial injury/infarction (PMI) following noncardiac surgery is a frequent cardiac complication. This study aims to evaluate PMI risk and explore preoperative assessment tools of PMI in patients at increased cardiovascular (CV) risk who underwent noncardiac surgery under the surgical and medical co-management (SMC) model. Methods A prospective cohort study that included consecutive patients at increased CV risk who underwent intermediate- or high-risk noncardiac surgery at the Second Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, between January 2017 and December 2022. All patients were treated with perioperative management by the SMC team. The SMC model was initiated when surgical intervention was indicated and throughout the entire perioperative period. The incidence, risk factors, and impact of PMI on 30-day mortality were analyzed. The ability of the Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI), frailty, and their combination to predict PMI was evaluated. Results 613 eligible patients (mean [standard deviation, SD] age 73.3[10.9] years, 94.6% male) were recruited consecutively. Under SMC, PMI occurred in 24/613 patients (3.9%). Patients with PMI had a higher rate of 30-day mortality than patients without PMI (29.2% vs. 0.7%, p = 0.00). The FRAIL Scale for frailty was independently associated with an increased risk for PMI (odds ratio = 5.91; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.34–14.93; p = 0.00). The RCRI demonstrated adequate discriminatory capacity for predicting PMI (area under the curve [AUC], 0.78; 95% CI, 0.67–0.88). Combining frailty with the RCRI further increased the accuracy of predicting PMI (AUC, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.81–0.93). Conclusions The incidence of PMI was relatively low in high CV risk patients undergoing intermediate- or high-risk noncardiac surgery under SMC. The RCRI adequately predicted PMI. Combining frailty with the RCRI further increased the accuracy of PMI predictions, achieving excellent discriminatory capacity. These findings may aid personalized evaluation and management of high-risk patients who undergo intermediate- or high-risk noncardiac surgery.

Keywords

• Perioperative myocardial injury/Infarction
• Noncardiac surgery
• Surgical and medical co-management
• Risk prediction