آیندهپژوهی دفاعی (May 2021)
Designing a native model of futurism in the headquarters of the Army of the Islamic Republic of Iran
Abstract
One of the requirements for development and progress in any field is to have insight into the environment, making decisions in a timely manner and having a purposeful and comprehensive plan is not possible unless future research is done correctly and successfully. A study of the vision document of the A.I. Iran in the 20-year horizon shows that the army with its mission-oriented identity needs development in the future. Meanwhile, the Army Command Headquarters, as the mastermind of the A.I. Iran, has an important role to play in directing the future movements of the A.I. Iran. This research, which is extracted from a level one research project, has been compiled with the aim of presenting an Indigenous model of futurism research at the headquarters of the A.I. Iran. However, in terms of the purpose of the application and the method of implementation, it is descriptive and exploratory. The researcher first reviews the literature and documents and comparative study of different models of futurism studies in military and civilian organizations and from the results, the dimensions and components of Futuristic models were counted. In the next step, different indicators were used for the good fit of the model. The statistical population of the study includes all commanders and senior managers of Army headquarters who are working in jobs related to the subject of foresight. The results showed that the indigenous model of foresight in the army headquarters is in four layers (results, processes, networking and policy-making) and has four dimensions (goals, participation, methods and results) and not the main component.
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