The Future Processes and Scenarios of Iran- Russia Relation Based on Caspian Energy Transfer

Abstract

The effective process and driving forces in realtion between Iran and Russia confront with different evoiutions, which cause to new kind of cooperation. Russia opposed to The West during the last decade in different fields such as crisises in Ukraine, Kosovo, Georgia (separation of south Ossetia), deployment of Amrica’s Missile shield in Czech, expanding NATO to East, etc. Caspian (Khazar) Energy issue is one of the other challenges between Russia and the West. Gas pipeline from Caspian to Europe through Russia , Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline and Nabucco pipeline are components which impress the relation between Russia and Europe. As Europe is looking for other energy sources, breaking dependence to Persian Golf energy, so Caspian energy sources are very important.Of course infiltration of America and Europe in Caspian domain, Caused to discord in their strategy of exporting energy. In this situation convergence between Iran and Russia –often are the same toward Europe– is too effective. So the processes and scenarios for would be convergence between Iran and Russia –according to politic- economic evolutions and Caspian Energy Market – were clarified by the method of critical uncertainty

Keywords

• caspian energy transfer
• future scenario
• russia