A Novel Preoperative Prediction Model Based on Deep Learning to Predict Neoplasm T Staging and Grading in Patients with Upper Tract Urothelial Carcinoma

Abstract

Objectives: To create a novel preoperative prediction model based on a deep learning algorithm to predict neoplasm T staging and grading in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients diagnosed with UTUC between 2001 and 2012 at our institution. Five deep learning algorithms (CGRU, BiGRU, CNN-BiGRU, CBiLSTM, and CNN-BiLSTM) were used to develop a preoperative prediction model for neoplasm T staging and grading. The Matthews correlation coefficient (MMC) and the receiver-operating characteristic curve with the area under the curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the performance of each prediction model. Results: The clinical data of a total of 884 patients with pathologically confirmed UTUC were collected. The T-staging prediction model based on CNN-BiGRU achieved the best performance, and the MMC and AUC were 0.598 (0.592–0.604) and 0.760 (0.755–0.765), respectively. The grading prediction model [1973 World Health Organization (WHO) grading system] based on CNN-BiGRU achieved the best performance, and the MMC and AUC were 0.612 (0.609–0.615) and 0.804 (0.801–0.807), respectively. The grading prediction model [2004 WHO grading system] based on BiGRU achieved the best performance, and the MMC and AUC were 0.621 (0.616–0.626) and 0.824 (0.819–0.829), respectively. Conclusions: We developed an accurate UTUC preoperative prediction model to predict neoplasm T staging and grading based on deep learning algorithms, which will help urologists to make appropriate treatment decisions in the early stage.

Keywords

• upper tract urothelial carcinoma
• deep learning
• early diagnosis
• neoplasm staging
• neoplasm grading