Sovremennye Issledovaniâ Socialʹnyh Problem (Apr 2013)

ETNOPOLITOGENESIS ENGLISH ETHNOS AND FORECAST OF ENGLAND

  • Рубин Гатуфович Сайфуллин

Journal volume & issue
Vol. 0, no. 2

Abstract

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There is given the forecast of development of one of the leading West European countries –Great Britainon the base of biosocial approach.The main fundamentals of this approach are:1. Political and ethnogenetic are interrelated, which suggests the existence of a single process of ethnopolygenesis.2. An ethnos in its development goes through a series of age-phases – stable periods and dividing them phase transitions – unstable crisis periods, characterized by distemper (amplitudinous domestic conflicts).3. The age range of phases and phase transitions of ethnogenesis and periods of crisis in some phases, similar in character to phase transitions are determined by a universal, invariant eras and types of polities regularity – numerical algorithm of ethnopolygenesis.4. The distempers and major military defeats mainly are characteristic for unstable periods.It is shown that the British ethnogenesis developed generally in accordance with the numerical algorithm: distemper in the political history ofEnglandtook place during the periods of unstable states of phase transitions and critical periods in phases. This same regularity is generally true of the major military defeats. It is shown that the British are on the verge of the beginning of one of the most painful unstable states. There is given the forecast ofEnglandon the basis of this conclusion.Conclusions of the article may be of interest for scientists involved in political forecasting and for politicians.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.12731/2218-7405-2013-2-32

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