E3S Web of Conferences (Jan 2023)

Time Series Model to Predict Future Popular Animes Genres in 2025

  • Setiawan Nathanael,
  • Hendra Jayson Mikael,
  • Wijaya Bernard,
  • Qomariyah Nunung Nurul,
  • Astriani Maria Seraphina

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202338802002
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 388
p. 02002

Abstract

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Abstract Anime is a form of animated media originating from Japan, where it is mostly characterized by its unique style and is exclusively made in Japan. In the current digital era, anime is now very prevalent not only for Japanese consumers, but the entire world. With this much relevance behind anime, this paper proposes some observations of genres which trend over time. This is mostly to help creative teams behind anime studios to appeal to international audiences in the near future using the Prophet time-series. The resulting model has been evaluated with an RMSE of 1.102 and a MAPE of 13.551%. The model predicts that the genres Super Power, Demons, and Supernatural will trend upwards, while the genres Josei, Cars, and Kids will trend downwards into the year 2025.