Modeling for wind-thermal combined bidding considering bilateral tail information

Abstract

The stochastic output of wind power will lead to the penalty of bidding deviation in the spot market and bring bidding risk, restricting the participation of wind power in market competition. The combined bidding strategy for multiple power generation stakeholders can help alleviate the output uncertainty of wind power, reducing the bidding deviation penalty. This paper aims at the modeling method for wind-thermal combined bidding in the spot power market. Conditional value at risk (CVaR) is used to describe the bidding risk of the combined bidding. To better reflect the bidding risk, the bilateral tail information of the upper and lower deviations is modeled according to the revenue function. The uncertainties of wind power output and the clearing price in the day-ahead market are considered, and the risk decision-making model for wind-thermal combined bidding is established. The model is solved by the chaotic particle swarm optimization algorithm with constraint handling (EDFC-PSO). The results show that the proposed modeling method can describe the risk indicators in detail, providing a better reference for market bidding. Also, the combination of the wind farm and the thermal power unit can reduce the risk of wind power in bidding and improve its profitability in the day-ahead market. Besides, the risk speculation of the wind farm can be found when facing the inevitable increased risks. It means the behaviors of the market participants can be better explained using the proposed method in this paper.

Keywords

• Combined bidding
• Electricity market
• Conditional value at risk (CVaR)
• Risk modeling
• Bilateral tail information