Nature Communications (Mar 2021)
Infectivity, susceptibility, and risk factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 transmission under intensive contact tracing in Hunan, China
- Shixiong Hu,
- Wei Wang,
- Yan Wang,
- Maria Litvinova,
- Kaiwei Luo,
- Lingshuang Ren,
- Qianlai Sun,
- Xinghui Chen,
- Ge Zeng,
- Jing Li,
- Lu Liang,
- Zhihong Deng,
- Wen Zheng,
- Mei Li,
- Hao Yang,
- Jinxin Guo,
- Kai Wang,
- Xinhua Chen,
- Ziyan Liu,
- Han Yan,
- Huilin Shi,
- Zhiyuan Chen,
- Yonghong Zhou,
- Kaiyuan Sun,
- Alessandro Vespignani,
- Cécile Viboud,
- Lidong Gao,
- Marco Ajelli,
- Hongjie Yu
Affiliations
- Shixiong Hu
- Hunan Workstation for Emerging Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Hunan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention
- Wei Wang
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education
- Yan Wang
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education
- Maria Litvinova
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Public Health
- Kaiwei Luo
- Hunan Workstation for Emerging Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Hunan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention
- Lingshuang Ren
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education
- Qianlai Sun
- Hunan Workstation for Emerging Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Hunan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention
- Xinghui Chen
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education
- Ge Zeng
- Hunan Workstation for Emerging Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Hunan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention
- Jing Li
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education
- Lu Liang
- West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University
- Zhihong Deng
- Hunan Workstation for Emerging Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Hunan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention
- Wen Zheng
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education
- Mei Li
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education
- Hao Yang
- Hunan Workstation for Emerging Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Hunan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention
- Jinxin Guo
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education
- Kai Wang
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education
- Xinhua Chen
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education
- Ziyan Liu
- Hunan Workstation for Emerging Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Hunan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention
- Han Yan
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education
- Huilin Shi
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education
- Zhiyuan Chen
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education
- Yonghong Zhou
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education
- Kaiyuan Sun
- Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health
- Alessandro Vespignani
- ISI Foundation
- Cécile Viboud
- Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health
- Lidong Gao
- Hunan Workstation for Emerging Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Hunan Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention
- Marco Ajelli
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Public Health
- Hongjie Yu
- School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-21710-6
- Journal volume & issue
-
Vol. 12,
no. 1
pp. 1 – 11
Abstract
Detailed knowledge of COVID-19 epidemiology is needed to inform public health responses. Here, the authors use large-scale contact tracing data to provide empirical estimates of key parameters, and show that susceptibility increases with age but transmissibility does not vary significantly.
