Nature Communications (Feb 2021)
Climate predicts geographic and temporal variation in mosquito-borne disease dynamics on two continents
- Jamie M. Caldwell,
- A. Desiree LaBeaud,
- Eric F. Lambin,
- Anna M. Stewart-Ibarra,
- Bryson A. Ndenga,
- Francis M. Mutuku,
- Amy R. Krystosik,
- Efraín Beltrán Ayala,
- Assaf Anyamba,
- Mercy J. Borbor-Cordova,
- Richard Damoah,
- Elysse N. Grossi-Soyster,
- Froilán Heras Heras,
- Harun N. Ngugi,
- Sadie J. Ryan,
- Melisa M. Shah,
- Rachel Sippy,
- Erin A. Mordecai
Affiliations
- Jamie M. Caldwell
- Department of Biology, Stanford University
- A. Desiree LaBeaud
- Department of Pediatrics, Division of Infectious Diseases, Stanford University
- Eric F. Lambin
- School of Earth, Energy & Environmental Sciences, and Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University
- Anna M. Stewart-Ibarra
- Department of Medicine and Department of Public Health and Preventative Medicine, SUNY Upstate Medical University
- Bryson A. Ndenga
- Centre for Global Health Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute
- Francis M. Mutuku
- Department of Environment and Health Sciences, Technical university of Mombasa
- Amy R. Krystosik
- Department of Pediatrics, Division of Infectious Diseases, Stanford University
- Efraín Beltrán Ayala
- Technical University of Machala
- Assaf Anyamba
- Universities Space Research Association and NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
- Mercy J. Borbor-Cordova
- Facultad de Ingeniería Marítima y Ciencias del Mar, Escuela Superior Politécnica del Litoral, ESPOL
- Richard Damoah
- Morgan State University and NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
- Elysse N. Grossi-Soyster
- Department of Pediatrics, Division of Infectious Diseases, Stanford University
- Froilán Heras Heras
- Center for Research SUNY-Upstate-Teófilo Dávila Hospital
- Harun N. Ngugi
- Department of Biological Sciences, Chuka University
- Sadie J. Ryan
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida
- Melisa M. Shah
- Department of Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Stanford University
- Rachel Sippy
- Center for Research SUNY-Upstate-Teófilo Dávila Hospital
- Erin A. Mordecai
- Department of Biology, Stanford University
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-21496-7
- Journal volume & issue
-
Vol. 12,
no. 1
pp. 1 – 13
Abstract
The effects of climate on vector-borne disease systems are highly context-dependent. Here, the authors incorporate laboratory-measured physiological traits of the mosquito Aedes aegypti into climate-driven mechanistic models to predict number, timing, and duration of outbreaks in Ecuador and Kenya.
