New Microbes and New Infections (Jan 2022)

A persistent high ambient temperature waned the community spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 in Pakistan

  • G. Habib,
  • M. Shah Zeb Khan,
  • H. Gul,
  • A. Hayat,
  • M. Ur Rehman

Journal volume & issue
Vol. 45
p. 100961

Abstract

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The recent pandemic caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) has increased the global concern over its transmission and prevention. Since there was an incontrovertible perception that environmental conditions might affect the spread of SARS-CoV-2, we analyzed the environmental variables impact on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Pakistan. Our analytical study revealed that when the temperature remained high for consecutive 10 to 15 days, a significant decrease is witnessed in the forthcoming week in the COVID-19 cases. We found that a persistent high ambient temperature of 36 °C and above is detrimental to SARS-CoV-2 transmission and has paused the community spread of COVID-19 in Pakistan. Importantly, during the fall period of SARS-CoV-2, a high relative humidity of 63–72% was noted that showed a positive role in COVID-19 inhibition. Hence, the community spread of SARS-CoV-2 was paused by the warm humid climate and the ambient temperature was the yardstick in turning down the epidemic in Pakistan.

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