Frontiers in Physics (Dec 2024)

Patterns and centralisation in Ethereum-based token transaction networks

  • Francesco Maria De Collibus,
  • Francesco Maria De Collibus,
  • Carlo Campajola,
  • Carlo Campajola,
  • Carlo Campajola,
  • Guido Caldarelli,
  • Guido Caldarelli,
  • Guido Caldarelli,
  • Guido Caldarelli,
  • Claudio J. Tessone,
  • Claudio J. Tessone

DOI
https://doi.org/10.3389/fphy.2024.1305167
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 12

Abstract

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We explore patterns, regularities, and correlations in the evolving landscape of Ethereum-based tokens, both ERC-20 (fungible) and ERC-721 (non-fungible) to understand the factors contributing to the rise in certain tokens over others. By applying network science methodologies, minimum spanning trees, econometric autoregressive–moving-average (ARMA) models, and the study of accumulation processes, we are able to highlight a rising centralisation process. Not only do “rich” tokens get richer, but past transactions also emerge as more reliable predictors of new transactions. Our findings are validated across different samples of tokens.

Keywords