آینده‌پژوهی دفاعی (Sep 2016)

The nature of future possible hybrid war against I.R.I. in 1404

  • ALI Satarikhah,
  • Amirhoshang Khademdaghigh,
  • Aziz Nasirzadeh,
  • Seyed Mohammad Mirsamiei

Journal volume & issue
Vol. 1, no. 1
pp. 27 – 44

Abstract

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Islamic Republic of Iran is typically located in the temporal and spatial diversity due to its anti- arrogant nature, special geopolitical position, geostrategic and geo-economic area, supporting the poor, maintaining independence policy as well as its peaceful nuclear program. This study aimed to explore the nature of a possible future hubrid war against the Islamic Republic of Iran in 1404, combining descriptive analytical technique seeks to answer the question in view of the advent of the hybrid war; how would domains, characteristics, types and tools of threats the form of possible combined war and the imposed war against Iran be like in 1404? The results of the study revealed that the nature of hybrid war against Iran in 1404, can be classified on the bases of parameters including the uncertainty of future threats, deterrence and international cooperation in eight areas such as military invasion (air to sea), proxy governmental and non-governmental, soft overthrow, all-out sanctions, non irremovable internal, cross-sectional tensions and disobedience, influence and transformation; where the most important characteristics will be the use of new weapons and cyberspace, type and means of threats will be of smart (hybrid) and its domain will focus on security-intelligence, cultural, ethnic and religious affairs.

Keywords