Methods for assessing the impact of technologies on the characteristics of promising products and achieving the goals of scientific and technological development (exemplified by the national aircraft industry)

Abstract

A methodological approach is proposed to assess the impact of new technologies on achieving the goals of scientific and technological development of the industry (for example, aircraft manufacturing). It assumes a hierarchical relationship between the characteristics of individual technologies, the characteristics of products (aircraft) and the integral characteristics of air transport systems. It is considered that at the stage of applied research and development not hypothetical but real objects are developed. The composition and relationships of the necessary complex of mathematical models are described.

Keywords

• стратегическое планирование
• прогнозирование
• научно-технологическое развитие
• генеральные цели
• технологии
• эффективность
• оценка влияния
• математические модели