Energy and AI (May 2024)

Utilizing Artificial intelligence to identify an Optimal Machine learning model for predicting fuel consumption in Diesel engines

  • Amirali Shateri,
  • Zhiyin Yang,
  • Jianfei Xie

Journal volume & issue
Vol. 16
p. 100360

Abstract

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This paper describes the utilization of artificial intelligence (AI) techniques to identify an optimal machine learning (ML) model for predicting dodecane fuel consumption in diesel combustion. The study incorporates sensitivity analysis to assess the impact levels of various parameters on fuel consumption, thereby highlighting the most influential factors. In addition, this study addresses the impact of noise and implements data cleaning techniques to ensure the reliability of the obtained results. To validate the accuracy of the predictions, the study performs several metrics and validation process, including comparisons with computational fluid dynamics (CFD) results and experimental data. Comprehensive comparisons are made among neural networks (NN), random forest regression (RFR), and Gaussian process regression (GPR) models, taking into account the complexity associated with fuel consumption predictions. The findings demonstrate that the GPR model outperforms the others in terms of accuracy, as evidenced by metrics such as mean absolute error (MAE), mean squared error (MSE), Pearson coefficient (PC), and R-squared (R2). The GPR model exhibits superior predictive ability, accurately detecting and predicting even individual data points that deviate from the overall trend. The significantly lower absolute error values also consistently indicate its higher accuracy compared with the NN and RFR models. Furthermore, the GPR model shows a remarkable speedup, approximately 1.7 times faster than traditional CFD solvers, and physically captures the momentum and thermal characteristics in a surface field prediction. Finally, the target optimization is assessed using the Euclidean distance as a fitness function, ensuring the reliability of predicted data.

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