Nature Communications (Sep 2020)

Forecasting extreme stratospheric polar vortex events

  • L. J. Gray,
  • M. J. Brown,
  • J. Knight,
  • M. Andrews,
  • H. Lu,
  • C. O’Reilly,
  • J. Anstey

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18299-7
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 11, no. 1
pp. 1 – 9

Abstract

Read online

Extreme events high up in the winter stratosphere are known to influence our weather and their predictability has potential to improve seasonal weather forecasts. Here, the authors examine factors that influence their generation and highlight a previously unrecognised sensitivity to the upper equatorial stratosphere.