Method for pluvial flood risk assessment in rural settlements characterised by scant information availability
Maurizio Tiepolo,
Sarah Braccio,
Edoardo Fiorillo,
Andrea Galligari,
Gaptia Lawan Katiellou,
Giovanni Massazza,
Adamou Aissatou Sitta,
Aliou Moumouni Tankari,
Vieri Tarchiani
Affiliations
Maurizio Tiepolo
Interuniversity Department of Regional and Urban Studies and Planning, Politecnico and University of Turin, viale Mattioli 39, 10125 Turin, Italy; Corresponding author.
Sarah Braccio
Interuniversity Department of Regional and Urban Studies and Planning, Politecnico and University of Turin, viale Mattioli 39, 10125 Turin, Italy
Edoardo Fiorillo
Institute of BioEconomy, National Research Council, via P. Gobetti, 101, 40129 Bologna, Italy
Andrea Galligari
Interuniversity Department of Regional and Urban Studies and Planning, Politecnico and University of Turin, viale Mattioli 39, 10125 Turin, Italy
Gaptia Lawan Katiellou
Direction de la Météorologie Nationale, rue du Grand Hotel, BP 218 Niamey, Niger
Giovanni Massazza
Interregional Agency for the Po River, via Pastrengo 2/ter, 10024 Moncalieri, Italy
Adamou Aissatou Sitta
Direction de la Météorologie Nationale, rue du Grand Hotel, BP 218 Niamey, Niger
Aliou Moumouni Tankari
Ministère de l'Agriculture et de l'Elevage, BP 12091 Niamey, Niger
Vieri Tarchiani
Institute of BioEconomy, National Research Council, via Giovanni Caproni 8, 50145 Florence, Italy
In tropical regions, heavy precipitations may lead to catastrophic flooding due to the degradation of catchments and the expansion of settlements in flood prone zones. In the current situation, where information on rainfall and exposed assets is either scant, or requires significant time to be collected, pluvial flood risk assessments are conducted using participatory tools, without any scientific support. Another option is to use satellite precipitation products, digital terrain models and satellite images at high to moderate-resolution. However, these datasets do not reach the required accuracy at the local scale. Consequently, the potential damages and the evaluation component of risk assessment are often missing. Risk evaluation is pivotal for informed decision-making, with regards to the choice of treating or accepting the risk, implementing more effective measures, and for determining the safest areas for development. We proposed an improved method for assessing the risk of pluvial floods, which merges local and scientific knowledge and is consistent with the ISO 31010 standard. The method was successfully applied in five rural settlements in Niger and can be replicated in areas where information is scarce.