Вестник Московского государственного областного университета (Jan 2020)


  • Bocharnikov I.,
  • Olga А. Ovsyannikova

Journal volume & issue
no. 3


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Aim. To determine the main directions of the political and socio-economic situation development in Kyrgyzstan under the influence of various levels of factors (global – the coronavirus pandemic; international – the influence of individual international actors; and local – domestic political processes), as well as the state and prospects in the emerging situation of Russian-Kyrgyz relations. Methodology. Through factor analysis, the main trends in the development of the domestic political situation in Kyrgyzstan, interstate relations with neighboring countries and members of the Eurasian economic community, as well as ensuring security and stability in the regional Central Asian system of international relations are considered.Results. The hypothesis is confirmed that the post-pandemic situation in Kyrgyzstan is characterized by a crisis, and a sharp decline in socio-economic development indicators and increased dependence on external financial regulators. Besides, the complication of relations with neighboring countries, especially with Tajikistan, due to unresolved border issues, and Kazakhstan-due to problems of customs regulation are among the crisis indicators. The excessive activity of various international non-governmental organizations and structures working with both state authorities and the opposition in Kyrgyzstan is also obvious. Taking into account the practice of state coups in Kyrgyzstan (of 2005 and 2010), carried out with the direct participation of these structures, their activities on the territory of Kyrgyzstan predetermine the need to take into account the implementation of Russia’s Central Asian policy.Research implications. The provisions of the article, as well as conclusions and recommendations, can be used by analytical structures to assess the situation and develop proposals for adjusting the political course towards Kyrgyzstan and Russia’s overall policy in the Central Asian region.