Evaluating machine learning models for sepsis prediction: A systematic review of methodologies

Abstract

Summary: Studies for sepsis prediction using machine learning are developing rapidly in medical science recently. In this review, we propose a set of new evaluation criteria and reporting standards to assess 21 qualified machine learning models for quality analysis based on PRISMA. Our assessment shows that (1.) the definition of sepsis is not consistent among the studies; (2.) data sources and data preprocessing methods, machine learning models, feature engineering, and inclusion types vary widely among the studies; (3.) the closer to the onset of sepsis, the higher the value of AUROC is; (4.) the improvement in AUROC is primarily due to using machine learning as a feature engineering tool; (5.) deep neural networks coupled with Sepsis-3 diagnostic criteria tend to yield better results on the time series data collected from patients with sepsis. The new evaluation criteria and reporting standards will facilitate the development of improved machine learning models for clinical applications.

Keywords

• Clinical medicine
• Machine learning