Nonparametric Estimation of Range Value at Risk

Abstract

Range value at risk (RVaR) is a quantile-based risk measure with two parameters. As special examples, the value at risk (VaR) and the expected shortfall (ES), two well-known but competing regulatory risk measures, are both members of the RVaR family. The estimation of RVaR is a critical issue in the financial sector. Several nonparametric RVaR estimators are described here. We examine these estimators’ accuracy in various scenarios using Monte Carlo simulations. Our simulations shed light on how changing p and q with respect to n affects the effectiveness of RVaR estimators that are nonparametric, with n representing the total number of samples. Finally, we perform a backtesting exercise of RVaR based on Acerbi and Szekely’s test.

Keywords

• range value at risk
• nonparametric estimation
• Monte Carlo simulations
• backtesting