Research on Sand-Dust Storm Forecasting Based on Deep Neural Network With Stacking Ensemble Learning

Abstract

Weather forecasting is an important factor affecting production and life. With the development of technology, weather forecasting methods such as weather map forecasting, numerical weather forecasting, and quantitative forecasting methods have emerged. However, these traditional data analysis methods have shortcomings such as incomplete analysis, insufficient objectivity, inability to quantitatively predict the weather, and low prediction accuracy. The import of neural networks into the field of weather forecasting helps to alleviate the above shortcomings and improve the accuracy of weather forecasting. In this paper, the LSTM network and the CNN network are used to predict the sand-dust storm weather. In order to improve the prediction performance, we use the Stacking integration algorithm to fuse the LSTM and CNN models. To improve the experimental scientific and comprehensive, using fully connected network and support vector machine as meta-classifiers, two LSTM-CNN integrated sand-dust storm prediction models are established. At last, the above integrated model is used in the prediction of sand-dust storms in Inner Mongolia. The experimental results show that compared with a single LSTM or CNN model, the Stacking ensemble model has different degrees of improvement in model evaluation indicators such as accuracy, precision, recall, and f1-score. The Stacking ensemble model uses the fully connected network model as the meta-classifier is even better. These prove that the Stacking ensemble algorithm improves the sand-dust storm classification effect and generalization ability of a single neural network to a certain extent.

Keywords

• Sand-dust storm
• deep neural network
• ensemble learning
• convolutional neural network
• long short-term memory