Lossless Transformations and Excess Risk Bounds in Statistical Inference

Abstract

We study the excess minimum risk in statistical inference, defined as the difference between the minimum expected loss when estimating a random variable from an observed feature vector and the minimum expected loss when estimating the same random variable from a transformation (statistic) of the feature vector. After characterizing lossless transformations, i.e., transformations for which the excess risk is zero for all loss functions, we construct a partitioning test statistic for the hypothesis that a given transformation is lossless, and we show that for i.i.d. data the test is strongly consistent. More generally, we develop information-theoretic upper bounds on the excess risk that uniformly hold over fairly general classes of loss functions. Based on these bounds, we introduce the notion of a δ-lossless transformation and give sufficient conditions for a given transformation to be universally δ-lossless. Applications to classification, nonparametric regression, portfolio strategies, information bottlenecks, and deep learning are also surveyed.

Keywords

• statistical inference with loss
• strongly consistent test
• information-theoretic bounds
• classification
• regression
• portfolio selection