Radiomics nomogram based on CT radiomics features and clinical factors for prediction of Ki-67 expression and prognosis in clear cell renal cell carcinoma: a two-center study

Abstract

Abstract Objectives To develop and validate a radiomics nomogram combining radiomics features and clinical factors for preoperative evaluation of Ki-67 expression status and prognostic prediction in clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). Methods Two medical centers of 185 ccRCC patients were included, and each of them formed a training group (n = 130) and a validation group (n = 55). The independent predictor of Ki-67 expression status was identified by univariate and multivariate regression, and radiomics features were extracted from the preoperative CT images. The maximum relevance minimum redundancy (mRMR) and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm (LASSO) were used to identify the radiomics features that were most relevant for high Ki-67 expression. Subsequently, clinical model, radiomics signature (RS), and radiomics nomogram were established. The performance for prediction of Ki-67 expression status was validated using area under curve (AUC), calibration curve, Delong test, decision curve analysis (DCA). Prognostic prediction was assessed by survival curve and concordance index (C-index). Results Tumour size was the only independent predictor of Ki-67 expression status. Five radiomics features were finally identified to construct the RS (AUC: training group, 0.821; validation group, 0.799). The radiomics nomogram achieved a higher AUC (training group, 0.841; validation group, 0.814) and clinical net benefit. Besides, the radiomics nomogram provided a highest C-index (training group, 0.841; validation group, 0.820) in predicting prognosis for ccRCC patients. Conclusions The radiomics nomogram can accurately predict the Ki-67 expression status and exhibit a great capacity for prognostic prediction in patients with ccRCC and may provide value for tailoring personalized treatment strategies and facilitating comprehensive clinical monitoring for ccRCC patients.

Keywords

• Clear cell renal cell carcinoma
• Radiomics
• Heterogeneity
• Ki-67
• Outcome