The Prognosis of Political Stability of the Russian Federation on the Basis of Calculation of the Index of National External Economic Stability

Abstract

The article contains the development of ideas presented in the previous issue of the bulletin. On the basis of the proposed by V.G. Ivanov methodology of calculation of the index of national external economic stability there has been prepared the short- mid-term prognosis of the level of stability of the Russian political regime. With a glance to the specificity of the development of the Russian Federation the methodology of calculation of the deflator of the referred index has been worked out as well.

Keywords

• политическая стабильность
• прогнозирование
• индекс внешнеэкономической стабильности
• экспорт
• политический процесс