Investigation and prediction on Fluting Paper Supply &Demand in Iran

Abstract

Total and per capita consumption of fluting paper was calculated using data and information from production, import and export for last decades. Then based on the fact that consumption of paper and paper products is a function of both per capita consumption and population of any country, regression analysis was used to predict per capita consumption for the period of 1994-2003, total consumption for the period of 2006-2011 as well as the year 2021. Finally based on the calculated consumption of different papers and considering the present and future capacities for paper production, the shortage of paper was derived. Results showed that the fluting paper consumption for the year 2021, will reach 290000 tons which causes 200,000 tons of shortage per year. This shortage will require that almost 70% consumption need to be fulfilled by import.

Keywords

• fluting paper
• consumption
• import
• export
• consumption balance