Analysis system dynamic of chicken egg production system: Case in West Sumatra Indonesia

Abstract

A policy study is needed to guide the planning process to develop a sustainable agropolitan area for laying hens in Limapuluh Kota Regency. This research aims to design a policy for developing sustainable laying hen businesses through modeling the chicken egg production system. The dynamic systems approach was used to determine the production system for chicken egg production, which consists of two sub-systems: the layer chicken population sub-system and the business profit sub-system. Each sub-system interacts dynamically based on time. The research results reveal that the chicken egg production model in Limapuluh Kota Regency is accurate and can be used for decision-making activities. The model and its development can help determine the direction of chicken egg production policy to be developed into a sustainable agropolitan area. In the future, overall chicken egg production in Limapuluh Kota Regency is likely to increase, leading to an increase in profits for the egg-laying chicken farming business. However, an increase in feed prices without a corresponding increase in egg prices may hamper the rate of increase in egg.