An extremeness threshold determines the regional response of floods to changes in rainfall extremes

Manuela I. Brunner; Daniel L. Swain; Raul R. Wood; Florian Willkofer; James M. Done; Eric Gilleland; Ralf Ludwig

doi:10.1038/s43247-021-00248-x

Communications Earth & Environment (Aug 2021)

An extremeness threshold determines the regional response of floods to changes in rainfall extremes

Manuela I. Brunner,
Daniel L. Swain,
Raul R. Wood,
Florian Willkofer,
James M. Done,
Eric Gilleland,
Ralf Ludwig

Affiliations

Manuela I. Brunner: National Center for Atmospheric Research
Daniel L. Swain: National Center for Atmospheric Research
Raul R. Wood: Department of Geography, Ludwig–Maximilians University Munich
Florian Willkofer: Department of Geography, Ludwig–Maximilians University Munich
James M. Done: National Center for Atmospheric Research
Eric Gilleland: National Center for Atmospheric Research
Ralf Ludwig: Department of Geography, Ludwig–Maximilians University Munich

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00248-x
Journal volume & issue: Vol. 2, no. 1
pp. 1 – 11

Abstract

Read online

The response of flood risk in Bavaria, Germany to increases in rainfall extremes in a warming climate is modulated by land surface processes below a precipitation threshold, but not above, suggest ensemble simulations with a hydrological model.

Published in Communications Earth & Environment

ISSN: 2662-4435 (Online)
Publisher: Nature Portfolio
Country of publisher: United Kingdom
LCC subjects: Science: Geology; Geography. Anthropology. Recreation: Environmental sciences
Website: https://www.nature.com/commsenv/

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