Microseismicity at the Time of a Large Creep Event on the Calaveras Fault is Unresponsive to Stress Changes

Abstract

The potential relationship between surface creep and deeper geological processes is unclear, even on one of the world’s best-studied faults. From June to August 2021, a large creep event with surface slip of more than 16 mm was recorded on the Calaveras fault in California, part of the San Andreas fault system. This event initially appeared to be accompanied by along-fault migration of seismicity, suggesting it penetrated to depth. Other studies have suggested that surface creep events are likely a shallow feature, unrelated to deep seismicity. To provide more detail on the relationship between earthquakes, surface creep, and potential aseismic slip at seismogenic depth, we tripled the number of earthquakes in the Northern California Earthquake Catalog in the region of the creep event for all of 2021. This was accomplished by implementing earthquake detection techniques based on both template matching (EQCorrscan) and AI-based automatic earthquake phase picking (PhaseNet). After manual inspection, the detected earthquakes were first located using Hypoinverse and subsequently relocated via GrowClust. Our enhanced catalog indicates that the spatiotemporal pattern of earthquakes here is not strongly influenced by the creep event and is better explained by structural heterogeneity than transient stress changes, indicating a decoupling of seismicity rate and surficial creep on this major fault.