Modelling of economic growth of Russia as the base for the macroeconomic forecast

Abstract

In the present article the theories of economic growth, their practical use are comparatively analyzed. Major factors of economic growth of Russia and their impact on a trajectory of a gross product are considered. The macroeconomic growth model of Russia is developed, the importance of its equations is estimated there. New methodological approaches to modeling of economic growth as a base of macroeconomic forecasting are offered there.

Keywords

• теории роста
• макроэкономическая модель
• эндогенные и экзогенные переменные
• регрессионный и дисперсионный анализ
• значимость параметров уравнения