Simulation analysis of school road traffic characteristics

Abstract

This study aims to identify key factors and sensitive intervals affect the school road traffic characteristics. We collect traffic data from the parking area and the school road (400-700 meters). The simulation is calibrated to ensure the error of outputs are within 1.5%. A sensitivity analysis method is proposed, it makes the multifactor comparable. The sensitivity factors of vehicle delay, queue length, and average speed are 1.44, 2.03, and 0.28 in school road, and the bottleneck road are 3.07, 4.44, and 0.65. The traffic indicators change more concentrated in bottleneck road but greater in school road. 6 scenarios are created to analyze school road traffic characteristics. Traffic flow (TF), number of parking spaces (NPS), and stopping time (ST) are selected as variables. Scenarios 1-3 are univariate, and scenarios 4-6 are bivariate. TF is the key factor with a sensitivity interval of [1300,1700].

Keywords

• urban traffic; traffic characteristic; simulation analysis; sensitivity analysis; school commuting