Long-Term Trends of Sea Surface Wind in the Northern South China Sea under the Background of Climate Change

Abstract

The long-term trends of sea surface wind are of great importance to our understanding of the effects of climate change on the marine environment. In the northern South China Sea (SCS), the long-term changes in coastal sea surface wind are not well-understood. Based on the latest reanalysis (ERA5) data from 1979 to 2019, our analysis showed a decreasing trend in the annual mean wind speed in the coastal area and an increasing trend in the open sea. There was a significant weakening trend in the easterly wind component in the coastal and continental shelf areas, whereas there was an increasing trend in the northerly wind component in the open sea. The Mann–Kendall mutation analysis suggested that there were significant changes in the wind speed and frequency of strong wind. Significant correlations were found between the variation of the wind field and El Niño–Southern Oscillation by wave coherence analysis. The strengthening of the wind stress curl was an important factor for the enhancement of coastal upwelling along the coast of the northern SCS. The wind field plays an important role in modulating the climatic change of significant wave height.

Keywords

• long-term trend
• sea surface wind
• South China Sea
• climate change
• ERA5