Integration of the radial basis functional network and sliding mode control for the sunshine radiation forecast

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a forecasting system of sunshine radiation for planners to quickly and accurately predict the output of solar power. The field data, including observation time, temperature, relational humidity, wind speed and global radiation, were collected, and the data clusters were embedded in the Excel Database. To improve the computational performance, the data selection technique was used in the stage of data cleaning, data integration and data reduction. Using the Integration of the Radial Basis Function Network (RBFN) and Sliding Mode Control (SMC), a Sliding Mode Radial Basis Function Network (SMRBFN) was proposed to solve this forecasting problem. Since the Sliding Mode Control has the design's sense of optimal parameters, three parameters in the SMRBFN were dynamically adjusted to promote the accurate and reliability of forecasting system. Linking the SMRBFN and Excel database, the learning stage and testing stage of SMRBFN retrieved the input data from Excel Database to perform and analyze the forecasting system. The proposed algorithm was tested on Kaohsiung district in summer and winter. The average prediction error of MAPE and RMSE obtained from the forecasting results are about 9% and 0.223, respectively. It can be proved that SMRBFN can efficiently forecast the sunshine radiation and accurately provide the output of solar power in an uncertainty environment.

Keywords

• forecasting system
• sunshine radiation
• data selection
• sliding mode control
• radial basis function network
• solar power
• mean absolute percentage error
• root mean square error