ANALISIS KEMUNGKINAN DAMPAK KETERLIBATAN INDONESIA DALAM TRANS PACIFIC PARTNERSHIP (TPP) TERHADAP KINERJA PERDAGANGAN DAN - DAYA SAING EKSPOR

Abstract

The Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP) is the largest economic cooperation agreement in the Asia Pacific region. Some countries are considering the decision to join this multilateral cooperation. This study aims to analyze the possible impact of Indonesian involvement in TPP on trade performance and export competitiveness. This became one of the contributions in the development of Islamic economic studies considering the purpose of this study is to formulate effective policies to realize a prosperous society selatas with maqashid shariah. The analysis in this research is done by simulating the free trade policy of Indonesia-TPP using Analytical tool of Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) version 8. The result of the analysis shows the impact of the decline of Indonesian trade performance in general. Indonesia's export competitiveness is measured using Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advatage (RSCA) and Trade Balance Index (TBI) to identify Indonesia's export commodities that have comparative and competitive advantages in the world market. By mapping the commodity into product mapping can be seen some of Indonesia's superior commodities in the world market.

Keywords

• computable general equilibrium models, economic integration, trade forecasting, trans pacific partnership (tpp)