Effectiveness of enforcement levels of speed limit and drink driving laws and associated factors – Exploratory empirical analysis using a bivariate ordered probit model

Behram Wali; Anwaar Ahmed; Shahid Iqbal; Arshad Hussain

doi:10.1016/j.jtte.2017.04.001

Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering (English ed. Online) (Jun 2017)

Effectiveness of enforcement levels of speed limit and drink driving laws and associated factors – Exploratory empirical analysis using a bivariate ordered probit model

Behram Wali,
Anwaar Ahmed,
Shahid Iqbal,
Arshad Hussain

Affiliations

Behram Wali: National Institute of Transportation, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, National University of Sciences and Technology, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan
Anwaar Ahmed: Military College of Engineering, National University of Sciences and Technology, Risalpur 24080, Pakistan
Shahid Iqbal: Military College of Engineering, National University of Sciences and Technology, Risalpur 24080, Pakistan
Arshad Hussain: National Institute of Transportation, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, National University of Sciences and Technology, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtte.2017.04.001
Journal volume & issue: Vol. 4, no. 3
pp. 272 – 279

Abstract

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The contemporary traffic safety research comprises little information on quantifying the simultaneous association between drink driving and speeding among fatally injured drivers. Potential correlation between driver's drink driving and speeding behavior poses a substantial methodological concern which needs investigation. This study therefore focused on investigating the simultaneous impact of socioeconomic factors, fatalities, vehicle ownership, health services and highway agency road safety policies on enforcement levels of speed limit and drink driving laws. The effectiveness of enforcement levels of speed limit and drink driving laws has been investigated through development of bivariate ordered probit model using data extricated from WHO's global status report on road safety in 2013. The consistent and intuitive parameter estimates along with statistically significant correlation between response outcomes validates the statistical supremacy of bivariate ordered probit model. The results revealed that fatalities per thousand registered vehicles, hospital beds per hundred thousand population and road safety policies are associated with a likely medium or high effectiveness of enforcement levels of speed limit and drink driving laws, respectively. Also, the model encapsulates the effect of several other agency related variables and socio-economic status on the response outcomes. Marginal effects are reported for analyzing the impact of such factors on intermediate categories of response outcomes. The results of this study are expected to provide necessary insights to elemental enforcement programs. Also, marginal effects of explanatory variables may provide useful directions for formulating effective policy countermeasures for overcoming driver's speeding and drink driving behavior.

Published in Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering (English ed. Online)

ISSN: 2095-7564 (Print); 2589-0379 (Online)
Publisher: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd.
Country of publisher: China
LCC subjects: Technology: Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General): Transportation engineering
Website: https://www.keaipublishing.com/en/journals/journal-of-traffic-and-transportation-engineering-english-edition/

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