Spatial-temporal variations in vegetation and their responses to climatic and anthropogenic factors in upper reaches of the Yangtze River during 2000 to 2019

Abstract

Environmental factors such as climate change and human activities are the basic driving forces that affect the growth and distribution of vegetation. Based on the MODIS-EVI data from 2000 to 2019, this paper analyzed the interannual changes of vegetation activity in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River (UYR), and examined their responses to climatic factors (effective precipitation, accumulative temperature and solar radiation) and anthropogenic factors (urbanization, afforestation). The results showed an increasing trend in EVI over the 20-year period, with an increasing rate of 0.021/10a. Contribution amount of effective precipitation, accumulative temperature, solar radiation and anthropogenic factors to EVI inter-annual variations in the UYR were 0.004/10a, 0.009/10a, 0.001/10a and 0.007/10a, respectively. Contribution rate of climate change and anthropogenic factors accounted for 67.8% and 32.2% of the total EVI changes respectively. In areas with significant changes in EVI, influence of anthropogenic factors is generally greater than that of climatic factors, especially in Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration, Wujiang River Basin and the middle and lower reaches of the Jinsha River. In alpine regions such as the source region of the Yangtze River, significant changes in EVI were dominated by climatic factors.

Keywords

• Upper Reaches of the Yangtze River
• Vegetation change
• Climate change
• Human activity
• Attribution analysis