PLoS ONE (Jan 2021)

Fatality and risk features for prognosis in COVID-19 according to the care approach - a retrospective cohort study.

  • Mariano Andrés,
  • Jose-Manuel Leon-Ramirez,
  • Oscar Moreno-Perez,
  • José Sánchez-Payá,
  • Ignacio Gayá,
  • Violeta Esteban,
  • Isabel Ribes,
  • Diego Torrus-Tendero,
  • Pilar González-de-la-Aleja,
  • Pere Llorens,
  • Vicente Boix,
  • Joan Gil,
  • Esperanza Merino,
  • COVID19-ALC research group

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0248869
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 16, no. 3
p. e0248869

Abstract

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IntroductionThis study analyzed the impact of a categorized approach, based on patients' prognosis, on major outcomes and explanators in patients hospitalized for COVID-19 pneumonia in an academic center in Spain.MethodsRetrospective cohort study (March 3 to May 2, 2020). Patients were categorized according to the followed clinical management, as maximum care or limited therapeutic effort (LTE). Main outcomes were all-cause mortality and need for invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). Baseline factors associated with outcomes were analyzed by multiple logistic regression, estimating odds ratios (OR; 95%CI).ResultsThirty-hundred and six patients were hospitalized, median age 65.0 years, 57.8% males, 53.3% Charlson index ≥3. The overall all-cause fatality rate was 15.0% (n = 46). Maximum care was provided in 238 (77.8%), IMV was used in 38 patients (16.0%), and 5.5% died. LTE was decided in 68 patients (22.2%), none received IMV and fatality was 48.5%. Independent risk factors of mortality under maximum care were lymphocytes 15ng/L and hypotension. Advanced age, lymphocytes 240pg/mL independently associated with IMV requirement.ConclusionOverall fatality in the cohort was 15% but markedly varied regarding the decided approach (maximum care versus LTE), translating into nine-fold higher mortality and different risk factors.