Research on the Method of Methane Emission Prediction Using Improved Grey Radial Basis Function Neural Network Model

Abstract

Effectively avoiding methane accidents is vital to the security of manufacturing minerals. Coal mine methane accidents are often caused by a methane concentration overrun, and accurately predicting methane emission quantity in a coal mine is key to solving this problem. To maintain the concentration of methane in a secure range, grey theory and neural network model are increasingly used to critically forecasting methane emission quantity in coal mines. A limitation of the grey neural network model is that researchers have merely combined the conventional neural network and grey theory. To enhance the accuracy of prediction, a modified grey GM (1,1) and radial basis function (RBF) neural network model is proposed, which combines the amended grey GM (1,1) model and RBF neural network model. In this article, the proposed model is put into a simulation experiment, which is built based on Matlab software (MathWorks.Inc, Natick, Masezius, U.S). Ultimately, the conclusion of the simulation experiment verified that the modified grey GM (1,1) and RBF neural network model not only boosts the precision of prediction, but also restricts relative error in a minimum range. This shows that the modified grey GM (1,1) and RBF neural network model can make more effective and precise predict the predicts, compared to the grey GM (1,1) model and RBF neural network model.

Keywords

• methane emission prediction
• grey theory
• RBF neural network model
• improved grey RBF neural network model