Asymmetric Risk Spillover of the International Crude Oil Market in the Perspective of Crude Oil Dual Attributes

Abstract

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The heterogeneity of investor sentiment plays a key role in causing the asymmetry of information transmission patterns and transmission intensity between markets. This paper analyzes the asymmetric risk spillover between the international crude oil market and other markets, including commodity market and financial market, using monthly data from June 2006 to October 2020. The risk from the international crude oil market is separated into upside and downside risks. The empirical results suggest that, first, from the perspective of static spillover, the risk spillover between the international oil market and commodity market or financial market enhances significantly in response to rising return; second, from the perspective of dynamic spillover, the asymmetric risk spillover of international crude oil market manifests the key roles played by important events happening in the crude oil market and alternating attributes of crude oil. Some policy suggestions are proposed in light of these empirical results.

Keywords

• dual attributes of crude oil
• upside and downside risks
• risk spillover
• risk measure
• asymmetry