Judgment and Decision Making (Mar 2009)
Searching for coherence in a correspondence world
Abstract
In this paper, I trace the evolution of the aircraft cockpit as an example of the transformation of a probabilistic environment into an ecological hybrid, that is, an environment characterized by both probabilistic and deterministic features and elements. In the hybrid ecology, the relationships among correspondence and coherence strategies and goals and cognitive tactics on the continuum from intuition to analysis become critically important. Intuitive tactics used to achieve correspondence in the physical world do not work in the electronic world. Rather, I make the case that judgment and decision making in a hybrid ecology requires extit{coherence} as the primary strategy to achieve extit{correspondence}, and that this process requires a shift in tactics from intuition toward analysis.
