Frontiers in Veterinary Science (Nov 2023)
Incorporating biodiversity responses to land use change scenarios for preventing emerging zoonotic diseases in areas of unknown host-pathogen interactions
- Fabio de Oliveira Roque,
- Fabio de Oliveira Roque,
- Beatriz Bellón,
- Beatriz Bellón,
- Angélica Guerra,
- Francisco Valente-Neto,
- Cyntia C. Santos,
- Cyntia C. Santos,
- Cyntia C. Santos,
- Isabel Melo,
- Isabel Melo,
- Adriano Nobre Arcos,
- Alessandra Gutierrez de Oliveira,
- André Valle Nunes,
- Clarissa de Araujo Martins,
- Clarissa de Araujo Martins,
- Clarissa de Araujo Martins,
- Franco L. Souza,
- Heitor Herrera,
- Luiz Eduardo R. Tavares,
- Mauricio Almeida-Gomes,
- Olivier Pays,
- Olivier Pays,
- Pierre-Cyril Renaud,
- Suellem Petilim Gomes Barrios,
- Lisa Yon,
- Gemma Bowsher,
- Richard Sullivan,
- Matthew Johnson,
- Carlos E. V. Grelle,
- Jose Manuel Ochoa-Quintero,
- Jose Manuel Ochoa-Quintero
Affiliations
- Fabio de Oliveira Roque
- Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil
- Fabio de Oliveira Roque
- Centre for Tropical Environmental and Sustainability Science (TESS) and College of Science and Engineering, James Cook University, Cairns, QLD, Australia
- Beatriz Bellón
- BIODIVAG, Univ Angers, Angers, France
- Beatriz Bellón
- Department of Environmental Science, Rhodes University, Makhanda, South Africa
- Angélica Guerra
- Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil
- Francisco Valente-Neto
- Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil
- Cyntia C. Santos
- Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil
- Cyntia C. Santos
- BIODIVAG, Univ Angers, Angers, France
- Cyntia C. Santos
- Wetlands International Brazil, Campo Grande, Brazil
- Isabel Melo
- Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil
- Isabel Melo
- Instituto de Investigación de Recursos Biológicos Alexander von Humboldt, Bogotá, Colombia
- Adriano Nobre Arcos
- Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil
- Alessandra Gutierrez de Oliveira
- Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil
- André Valle Nunes
- Instituto Nacional de Pesquisa do Pantanal, Programa de Capacitação Institucional, Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi, Cuiabá, Brazil
- Clarissa de Araujo Martins
- Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil
- Clarissa de Araujo Martins
- BIODIVAG, Univ Angers, Angers, France
- Clarissa de Araujo Martins
- Wetlands International Brazil, Campo Grande, Brazil
- Franco L. Souza
- Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil
- Heitor Herrera
- Universidade Católica Dom Bosco, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ciências Ambientais e Sustentabilidade Agropecuária, Campo Grande, Brazil
- Luiz Eduardo R. Tavares
- Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil
- Mauricio Almeida-Gomes
- Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil
- Olivier Pays
- BIODIVAG, Univ Angers, Angers, France
- Olivier Pays
- REHABS International Research Laboratory, CNRS-Université Lyon 1-Nelson Mandela University, George, South Africa
- Pierre-Cyril Renaud
- BIODIVAG, Univ Angers, Angers, France
- Suellem Petilim Gomes Barrios
- Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil
- Lisa Yon
- 0School of Veterinary Medicine and Science, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom
- Gemma Bowsher
- 1Centre for Conflict and Health, King’s College, London, United Kingdom
- Richard Sullivan
- 1Centre for Conflict and Health, King’s College, London, United Kingdom
- Matthew Johnson
- 2School of Geography, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom
- Carlos E. V. Grelle
- 3Department of Ecology, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ), Campo Grande, Brazil
- Jose Manuel Ochoa-Quintero
- Instituto de Biociências, Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso do Sul, Cidade Universitária, Campo Grande, Brazil
- Jose Manuel Ochoa-Quintero
- Instituto de Investigación de Recursos Biológicos Alexander von Humboldt, Bogotá, Colombia
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3389/fvets.2023.1229676
- Journal volume & issue
-
Vol. 10
Abstract
The need to reconcile food production, the safeguarding of nature, and the protection of public health is imperative in a world of continuing global change, particularly in the context of risks of emerging zoonotic disease (EZD). In this paper, we explored potential land use strategies to reduce EZD risks using a landscape approach. We focused on strategies for cases where the dynamics of pathogen transmission among species were poorly known and the ideas of “land-use induced spillover” and “landscape immunity” could be used very broadly. We first modeled three different land-use change scenarios in a region of transition between the Cerrado and the Atlantic Forest biodiversity hotspots. The land-use strategies used to build our scenarios reflected different proportions of native vegetation cover, as a proxy of habitat availability. We then evaluated the effects of the proportion of native vegetation cover on the occupancy probability of a group of mammal species and analyzed how the different land-use scenarios might affect the distribution of species in the landscape and thus the risk of EZD. We demonstrate that these approaches can help identify potential future EZD risks, and can thus be used as decision-making tools by stakeholders, with direct implications for improving both environmental and socio-economic outcomes.
Keywords
