Medical waste generation during COVID-19 pandemic in selected member countries of Arabian Gulf region; Google trend analysis

Abstract

AbstractThe variant SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) has affected the entire globe; it has caused acute respiratory illnesses and has led to massive environmental problems associated with extra medical waste and single-use plastics. Herein the total quantity of waste generated in the selected GCC countries from different sources has been calculated. The popularity of the medical waste issue through using relative search volume was investigated to associate it with the quantities of Waste. Data was collected from the first COVID-19 case in the respective country until March 26, 2022, from the public domains, “Worldmeter”, “Our World in Data” and “Google Trends”. Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) was used to predict the amount of CMW. The calculated values are 1107.980 kg/day from the facemask used by the public, 2,554,812 kg from vaccination, 2,595,772 kg from PCR tests, also the predicted daily total amount of COVID-19 related Medical Waste (CMW) by the end of 2022 (December 31, 2022) to be 3667.25 kg/day. The trend in the generation of CMW has been identified in selected countries. Generally, the waste is expected to get minimized, but it is a lesson for future planning. Especially With extensive vaccination, the cases are drastically decreased, and life is resuming in the regions.

Keywords

• Forecasting analysis
• Google trend analysis
• medical waste
• plastic personal protective equipment
• sustainable management
• waste generation in Gulf countries