Research on Passenger Flow Early Warning of Urban Rail Transit Station Based on System Dynamics

Abstract

Large-scale passenger flows occur frequently during the peak hours of urban rail transit stations and on holidays. Thus, the timely and accurate early warning of impending large-scale passenger flows can positively impact the operational safety of the entire station. By further deepening the definition of passenger flow warnings in stations, a new model of urban rail transit station passenger flow based on system dynamics is constructed. The method of determining the key area of passenger flows in the early warning stage based on streamlines is proposed; the key indicators and thresholds affecting early warnings are studied. Finally, taking a typical station as an example, a station model is built using Anylogic software. The parameter sensitivity analysis is used to determine the impact of each key indicator on the passenger flow in the key area of the station early warning, and the reference threshold of each indicator is determined.