Analysis of Wind Speed Extrapolation and Wind Power Density Assessment in Tetouan City

Abstract

ABSTRACT This study explores vertical wind speed extrapolation methods to evaluate wind energy potential in Tetouan, Morocco. Using wind speed data measured at 40 and 60 m with an Eol2020 mast, six extrapolation models were analyzed to address gaps in the literature. The study compares short‐ and long‐term models, including the Power Law and Modified Justus models, to identify optimal approaches for wind energy assessment. Results demonstrate that the Power Law model provides high accuracy for short‐term wind speed predictions, while the Modified Justus model, which incorporates atmospheric stability and surface roughness, excels in long‐term extrapolations. By offering a comparative analysis and practical recommendations for model selection, this research contributes to advancing wind energy resource assessment methodologies in Morocco. These findings provide critical insights to support strategic energy planning and enhance the understanding of regional wind energy potential.

Keywords

• comparative evaluation
• extrapolation methods
• performance selection criteria
• Weibull and Rayleigh distribution
• wind energy potential
• wind parameters