Accelerated permafrost degradation in thermokarst landforms in Qilian Mountains from 2007 to 2020 observed by SBAS-InSAR

Abstract

Due to the effects of global climate change, the permafrost temperature in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) has rapidly increased over the past decades. The development of thermokarst landforms is one distinctive indicator of permafrost degradation, while the change of the rate of permafrost degradation in recent 10 years has not been systematically investigated in QTP. In this paper, the annual average growth rate (AAGR) of ground deformation, the change of thaw slump areas, and the change of active layer thickness (ALT) of thermokarst landforms are monitored integrating SAR (synthetic aperture radar) and optical images for years 2007 to 2020 in Qilian Mountain, northern QTP. The ground deformation rate and seasonal amplitude were estimated by InSAR method, and the descending and ascending InSAR data are compared the validate the results. Based on the deformation results, AAGR was introduced to evaluate the permafrost degradation degree. Moreover, the ALT were estimated based on the seasonal deformation amplitude and Stefan model. The spatio-temporal characteristics of ground deformation and its relationship with thaw slump and temperature are explored. Experimental results show that the deformation rate increased about 150 % from 2007 to 10 to 2017–20. The maximum AAGR of deformation rate in the study area can reach 20.6 %. The thaw slump area has an obvious trend of expansion from 2009 to 2015, and its distribution agreed well with the deformation map. The ALT results ranged from 0.5 m to 2.8 m, indicating an obvious increase trend from 2007 to 2020. Based on the estimated increased ground deformation, thaw slump area, and ALT, it is inferred that frozen ground was undergoing serious degradation in the last 10 years. This study demonstrates the capability of multi-temporal InSAR in observing the accelerated permafrost thaw-freezing process and monitoring the permafrost parameters.

Keywords

• Deformation monitoring
• Multi-temporal InSAR
• Thermokarst landform
• Permafrost degradation