A Polynomial Linear Regression Approach to Estimate Sensitive Parameters in the Novel Double Diabetes Model

Abstract

Sensitivity analysis characterizes the changes in the model outputs due to the changes in the model parameters. In this article, we estimate the most sensitive parameters in the Novel Double Diabetes Model (NDDM) through the polynomial linear regression approach; this way we develop a direct relation between the sensitivity analysis and the paramter estimation. The NDDM has more than seventeen parameters, and estimating them simultanously is difficult. We select the most commonly used five parameters in the glucose-insulin dynamics for the sensitivity analysis. The model outputs-glucose concentrations in the plasma and the subcutaneous compartments are sensitive to the selected parameters whereas the insulin concentrations in the plasma and the subcutaneous compartment are sensitive only to the insulin transfer rate from the subcutaneous to the plasma compartment. System sensitivity of the model for the selected parameters is also in agreement with the individual sensitivities of the parameters. Consequently, we estimate the parameters which are more sensitive by the polynomial linear regression approach.