A grid model for vertical correction of precipitable water vapor over the Chinese mainland and surrounding areas using random forest

Abstract

Various ground-based observing techniques provide precipitable water vapor (PWV) products with different spatial resolutions. To effectively integrate these products, especially in terms of vertical orientation, spatial interpolation is essential. In this context, we have developed a model to characterize PWV variation with altitude over our study area. Our model, known as RF-PWV (a PWV vertical correction grid model with a 1° × 1° resolution), is constructed using random forest based on the relationship between the differences in different pressure level PWV data from the fifth-generation European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reanalysis (ERA5) monthly average hourly data and corresponding differences in their height differences over time. When validated against 1 h ERA5 PWV profiles, RF-PWV exhibits a 99.84 % reduction in bias and a 63.41 % decrease in the RMSE compared with the most recent model, C-PWVC1. Furthermore, when validated against radiosonde data, RF-PWV shows a 96.36 % reduction in bias and a 5 % decrease in the RMSE compared with C-PWVC1. Additionally, RF-PWV outperforms C-PWVC1 in terms of resistance to seasonal and height difference interference. The model eliminates the need for meteorological parameters, allowing for high-precision PWV vertical correction by inputting only time and height differences. Consequently, RF-PWV can significantly reduce errors in vertical correction, enhance PWV fusion product accuracy, and provide insights into PWV vertical distribution, thereby contributing to climate research.