Geological and hydrogeological drivers of seismic deformation in L’Aquila, Italy: insights from InSAR analysis

Abstract

Historical and recent earthquakes have struck the city of L'Aquila, located in the axial zone of the Central Apennines, Italy, causing severe damage to the historic centre. Recent studies have shown that higher intensity of damage to buildings in L’Aquila downtown, both in the case of the 2009 earthquake (Mw: 6.29) and the 1703 earthquake (Mw: 6.7), is associated with higher post-seismic subsidence rates, detected through A-DInSAR maps, in the time range 2010–2021. This finding suggests the existence of geological factors that drive deformation (and building damage). The availability of long time series of InSAR data acquired from the Cosmo-SkyMed and Sentinel-1 missions, has enabled us to analyze the relationships between ground deformations and geological, hydrogeological, and geomorphological factors that may affect them. The correlation analysis between predisposing factors and SAR deformation has highlighted an increase in subsidence strongly conditioned by the outcropping lithology, showing how compositional variations within lithology can significantly influence ground deformations. Furthermore, hydrogeology has been recognized as playing an important role in determining deformation processes: the water table depth locally influences long-term subsidence, while seasonal fluctuations in the water table may be responsible for secondary areal variations in ground deformations.

Keywords

• A-DInSAR
• high-risk seismic areas
• L’Aquila earthquake
• seismic damage
• correlation analysis